Do stocks beat prediction markets? For most people, yes
Samantha Lee
Samantha Lee
Reporter · Bloomington, IL
Samantha is a dedicated community journalist with a Master’s degree in Journalism from Columbia College Chicago. Having previously reported for the Chicago Tribune's local news section, she brings a wealth of experience in covering community events and issues that matter to Bloomington residents.
More from Samantha →Reporter · Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM · 1 min read
The Motley Fool reports that over 82% of Polymarket wallets lost money in 2025, highlighting the risks of prediction markets compared to the steady returns of the S&P 500.